The right has a big advantage over the left, but the Social Democrats would need Chega to govern.
• Photo: Miguel Baltazar
André Ventura, leader of Chega
In the battle between the two most representative forms of the party spectrum, the PS continues to have an advantage over the PSD, albeit very slightly (1%). In any case, if the elections were held today, the Socialist Party would win again, but it would be unlikely to form a government if the right-wing parties agreed. Except, for that, Luis Montenegro would need the support of Chega, who in this poll receives practically twice as many votes as the Liberal Initiative.
The PSD leader has been asked several times whether he would be available to form a government with Andre Ventura’s Chega, but has so far maintained the taboo. Looking at this March barometer, if he rejects a deal with Andre Ventura, it will be enough for the PS to resurrect the trick to continue to lead the country’s destiny.When it comes to the image of leaders, the Portuguese give them all a negative rating, which could indicate some dissatisfaction on the part of voters with politics and politicians. The same happens with the institutions (Parliament of the Republic and Government), they also fail in the estimation of the readers. Only the Presidency of the Republic survives above the waterline (they get 3.2, on a scale of 0 to 5).The Portuguese opinion of Fernando Medina, who is considered by far the worst minister, is also very negative. João Costa, holder of the Education portfolio, also fails the text of the best and worst minister by a wide margin, but nothing compared to the former mayor of Lisbon, the “owner” of Finance.
Bloc to rise and communists to fall
The change of leadership in the Liberal Initiative did not have a significant impact on voting intentions (IL decreased by 0.4% compared to February). In BE, the announcement of the departure of Catarina Martins and the possible replacement of Mariana Mortágua emboldened the blockers, with the party jumping from 4.8% to 6.4%, although far from the best results. The one not taking off is the CDU of Paulo Raimundo, who replaced Jerónimo de Sousa. The Communists, heavily punished in the last election, are hovering around 3% and falling.
DETAILS
DIFFICULT RETURN
In the fight for survival, the CDS achieved, in March, a more favorable result than in February, but it is still very difficult to see the party, again, in the parliament.BAD RESULT
The Intercampus poll of CM and Negócios reveals that the PAN will also face difficulties in maintaining parliamentary representation. This month’s results do not bode well.GROW UP AND DREAM
Rui Tavares’ party enters March with 2.4%, which would be enough to stay in Parliament. Livre can even dream of more MPs.HEALTH ON THE RISE
Manuel Pizarro is the minister with the most favorable views in this poll, despite the problems facing the health sector.